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CAS Forum
Vol. 2015, 2015July 01, 2015 EDT

Incorporating Model Error into the Actuary’s Estimate of Uncertainty

David J Otto, James Mackay,
Model RiskParameter RiskProcess RiskUnpaid Claim Uncertainty

Articles in Vol. 2015, 2015

Vol. 2015, 2015
  • Incorporating Model Error into the Actuary's Estimate of Uncertainty
    David J OttoJames Mackay
  • Interpolation Hacks and their Efficacy
    Lynne Bloom
  • The Market Value Margin Within The Distribution-Free Chain Ladder Model - A Way To Account For Calendar Year Effects And Aggregating Lines Of Business
    Daniel Burren
  • Accident Year / Development Year Interactions
    David R ClarkDiana Rangelova
  • Complex Random Variables
    Leigh J Halliwell
  • The Gauss-Markov Theorem: Beyond the BLUE
    Leigh J Halliwell
  • The Actuary's Role in a Risk-Focused Statutory Examination
    Alan M Hines
  • Premium Deficiency Reserve Evaluation for Mortgage Insurers
    David Kaye
  • Credibility for Pricing Loss Ratios and Loss Costs
    Uri Korn
  • Reserving Styles – Are Actuaries In-Sync with their Stakeholders?
    Mark W Littmann
  • Movement Analysis
    Andy Staudt
  • The Actuary's Role in Transfer Pricing
    Lynne BloomMarc F Oberholtzer
  • The Lognormal Random Multivariate
    Leigh J Halliwell
  • Stochastic Ordering of Reinsurance Structures
    Hou-Wen Jeng
  • A New Model For Weathering Risk: CDOS for Natural Catastrophes
    Aaron C Koch
  • A Frequency-Severity Stochastic Approach to Loss Development
    Uri Korn
  • Commutation Pricing – Cedent and Reinsurer Perspectives
    Brian E MacMahon
  • An Enhanced Understanding of Using the RAA Excess Casualty Loss Development Study for a Reserve Analysis
    Chaim Markowitz
  • An Integrated Approach to the Design of a Reinsurer's Data Architecture
    Isaac Mashitz
  • Sharpe Ratio Optimization of an Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract
    Sameer Nahal
  • Credibility and Other Modeling Considerations for Loss Development Factors
    Uri Kon
  • Low Interest Rate Environment Issues Faced by Property-Casualty Insurance Companies
    Christopher Gerald GrossDenis G GuenthnerWilliam H PanningSusan E Witcraft
  • Medicare Secondary Payer Status: The Impact of Section 111 Reporting Requirements
    Craig P Taylor
  • Insurance 2.0: Insuring the Sharing Economy & Sharing the Insurance Economy
    Dion OryzakAmit Verma
  • A Practical Approach to Variable Selection -- A Comparison of Various Techniques
    Benjamin WilliamsGreg HansenAryeh BarabanAlessandro Santoni
  • Risk Based Capital (RBC) Reserve Risk Charges--Standard Formula vs. Individual Company Assessments
    Emmanuel T BardisAllan M KaufmanGlenn G Meyers
  • The Consideration of Loss Timing for Risk Transfer Analysis
    Peter James Johnson
CAS Forum
Otto, David J, and James Mackay. 2015. “Incorporating Model Error into the Actuary’s Estimate of Uncertainty.” CAS Forum 2015 (July).
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